The north of Scotland could experience dramatic changes in electricity generation and demand by 2032, according to energy market-analysis firm Regen. Scottish & Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN) commissioned Regen to complete a set of future electricity scenarios for its distribution licence areas, and published reports on its website in November.
The study provides a range of credible scenarios for how the northern distribution electricity network will be used by 2032, including changes to generation, battery storage and technologies such as electric vehicles and heat pumps. It is based on National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios (FES) 2018 but was updated to reflect key changes in FES 2019, which was released during the analysis process.
- Onshore wind remains the dominant technology across all scenarios.
- Hydropower capacity is expected to increase between 30MW and 100MW.
- Ground-mounted solar PV increases significantly to reach between 200-400MW of capacity.
- Battery storage capacity could increase to between 300MW and 1.5GW.
- 56% of the area’s 686,000 cars could be electric