Crude oil price slump creates glut in Aberdeen property markets

Sign of the times in Aberdeen
A sign of the Aberdeen times

The 18-month slump in crude oil prices from Summer 2014 to Dec 2015 has exposed distressed sellers of Aberdeen commercial property – but is also creating bargain-buying opportunities for others in the oil and gas sector.

According to a new report by property agents JLL, growing pressures on the oil and gas sector are forcing companies to review their corporate real estate strategies.

For oil producing regions and cities heavily exposed to the industry, notably Aberdeen, the impact of a low oil price has been significant. Falling demand for products and services from the oil sector has had a knock on effect on these markets, resulting in reduced workforce requirements and slowing demand for real estate.

Space requirements from smaller players and oil service companies are likely to drop further as many may lack the financial resources of the oil majors to weather the storm.

However, it’s not all doom and gloom. As some larger and more financially robust companies are taking the opportunity to capitalise on the low oil price and acquire assets and stakes at below-market value, the industry is set to see some increase in targeted M&A activity in the near future. JLL suggests that those companies considering acquisitions should be preparing their real estate portfolios for the coming changes.

JLL Director Craig Watson explained: “In Aberdeen – in particular – there is a significant over-supply of office space, particularly from firms downsizing and disposing of surplus accommodation.

“Prime headline office rents are under pressure with increasing incentives, which is in itself an indicator of weakened real estate market. In this time of market uncertainty, occupiers are reluctant to enter into pre-let agreements and are increasingly concerned about flexibility, workforce requirements, and space optimization. Many have realised that they need a proactive long-term real estate strategy to be able to future-proof their business”.

“An immediate response from the oil and gas sector has been to focus on cost cutting and postpone further spending. For many companies this has led to headcount reductions and asset divestments.

“In the most acute examples, market pressures are forcing businesses to file bankruptcies and default on loans. According to Standard and Poor’s data, the oil and gas sector contributed to over a quarter of the total global corporate defaults in 2015.. A number of oil and gas companies, especially those with low debt to equity ratios, are expected to explore options for raising capital and increase borrowing”.

Surveyor Ben Dobson added: “While immediate market pressures force oil and gas companies to focus on cost reduction, there is still a strong argument for building a real estate strategy that can support the wider strategic objectives around growth, innovation, and talent.

“Growing global concerns around talent encourage business leaders to evaluate their workplace environments. For oil and gas companies this is a great time to tackle pending talent shortfall as the current generation of senior executives begin to look towards retirement. Forward-looking companies are shaping their real estate strategies today around the talent needs of tomorrow.”

Pixie Energy

Pixie logo Pixie Energy is an incubator and a facilitator of strategic research and project work, focusing on energy regulation, policy and markets at the local and national level. Find out more about Pixie Energy here.

Local Energy Matters: Scotland

Local Energy Matters: Scotland is a free-to-download brochure with a focus on energy tariffs in the two Scottish electricity distribution regions, as well news on local energy and low-carbon schemes.

Previous editions can be download here.

Scottish energy market overview

You can read an overview of the Scottish energy market here.

Scottish Government energy feed