Inconvenient facts for Scot-Gov on Scottish shale industry: 3,000 new jobs, £4bn in taxes and no risk to public health

The Scot-Govt published a report of the independent analysis on its review of the evidence on onshore oil and gas as Scottish Energy Minister Paul Wheelhouse announced its intention to permanently ban fracking for shale gas in Scotland.

This report is available here: 

This was prepared by Griesbach & Associates, a Scotland-based consortium of independent social policy research analysts.

And here is the analysis of the same evidence produced by the UK Onshore Oil and Gas association if fracking for shale was to go ahead;

  • Up to 3,100 jobs could be created in Scotland.
  • Potential £1 billion benefit for Scottish communities.
  • Up to £6.5 billion could be spent in Scotland with an additional £4 billion created in tax receipts.
  • The overall conclusion of the research was that the evidence reviewed was judged not to be of adequate quality, consistency or statistical power to demonstrate a hazard or health risk. This conclusion is supported by a previous study by Public Health England for the UK Government.
  • Additional traffic movements associated with onshore oil and gas resources are unlikely to be significant or detectable at a regional or national scale, in view of the much greater numbers of traffic movements resulting from other activities.
  • Contribution of unconventional oil and gas (UOG) development to traffic and associated impacts such as carbon emissions at a regional or national scale would be slight and comparable to many other industry sectors and activities.
  • The probability of felt earthquakes caused by hydraulic fracturing for recovery of hydrocarbons is very small.
  • The risk of leakage from abandoned UOG wells is likely to be very low.
  • The Committee on Climate Changes ’s assessment is that exploiting unconventional oil and gas by fracking on a significant scale is compatible with Scottish climate targets if three tests are met, which the industry believes are already achievable.

4 Oct 2017

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